Lockheed Martin's Stock Price Reflects Undue Pessimism Offering Margin Of Safety

(14min)

Summary

  • Lockheed Martin's stock price reflects undue pessimism; the current market price undervalues growth prospects, offering a margin of safety for investors.
  • Recent stock declines are linked to tariff regimes, improbable defense spending cuts, and losing the NGAD contract to Boeing, but these do not fully capture Lockheed's potential.
  • Lockheed's stable revenue from U.S. defense contracts and limited exposure to tariffs suggest resilience and potential for future growth.
  • Valuation analysis shows Lockheed's stock is priced close to a "no-growth" scenario, making any future growth a bonus and supporting a buy recommendation.

United States Air Force USAF Lockheed F-35A Lightning 15-5125 fighter jet arrival and landing for RIAT Royal International Air Tattoo 2018 airshow

Jozsef Soos

Introduction, Previous Coverage and Approach

We previously published an article on Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) in October 2021 when we observed that the share price reflected an unduly pessimistic view of their growth prospects. Our model

This article was written by

I am a small business owner in Connecticut. We supply equipment and supplies to restaurants and food service establishments. My long-term goal has been to reallocate profits into a portfolio that can provide for passive retirement income for myself and my family. I am careful with my money! I didn't inherit any wealth and built up my savings through old fashioned hard work. I haven't always worked in the family business, I also worked in finance and enjoyed the process of earning my CFA charter and CIPM certificate. In the finance world, I assisted firms comply with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS).I am sector agnostic for the most part with the companies that I cover. I will write about any company as long as I can understand the business. Often, the articles I write are a by product of an investment I have personally considered.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of LMT either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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