Bitcoin Decade-Old Cycle Indicates Bear Market Territory: A Sequence Of 5 Events To Expect (Downgrade)

Quanticats
2.4K Followers
(10min)

Summary

  • A bearish development is potentially set in motion by the confirmed head-and-shoulders pattern.
  • Bitcoin has crossed its minimum 1-year bull market mark (maximum 1.5 years) and is closely tracking its 2021 bear market setup in both price action and timing.
  • The negative real GDP growth in the US adds another layer of bearishness that an improvement in sentiment alone can't be easily offset.
  • We expect a very particular sequence of five events to occur in the bear market, which results in these key levels for high-probability trades: $88,000, $55,000, $33,000, and $16,500.
  • Our current action plan is to liquidate our Bitcoin portfolio in its entirety over the next few months.

Concept of a bear clawing down the stock market price chart. 3d rendering

mesh cube/iStock via Getty Images

Introduction

Due to our busy schedule, it has been a while since we last published our work. Even then, we felt the need to disseminate our findings due to the potentially massive implications of Bitcoin's current price

This article was written by

2.4K Followers
'Academicians by Day, Algo Traders by Night' - Quanticats.ioJust a group of overqualified academicians embarking on their journey down the path of quants and algorithm trading.Kitcat, founder of Quanticats.io, is currently working at one of the S.K.Y universities, South Korea’s most prestigious universities. He has a portfolio of dozens of SCI-indexed Q1 scientific publications across domains - half of which are related to Analytics, AI, and Algorithm Trading.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of BTC-USD either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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