Sprouts Farmers Market: Aggressive Expansion, Terrible Multiples (Rating Downgrade)

Gary Alexander
31.2K Followers
(9min)

Summary

  • Sprouts Farmers Market's stock has surged ~30% YTD, driven by strong same-store growth, margin improvements, and tariff immunity, but now appears overvalued.
  • I'm downgrading the stock to a sell rating as it sits at a ~34x forward P/E, and I am waiting for a fresh dip to re-enter this name.
  • SFM raised its full-year revenue and profit guidance, driven by healthy comparable sales growth trends in Q1.
  • However, tougher macroeconomic times may risk some of this recent strength, especially if inflation-strapped consumers decide to trade down to cheaper supermarkets.

Exterior of Sprouts Farmers Market store with farm fresh produce sign on street

krblokhin

The stock market has all but shaken off the fear that dragged equities down alongside the announcement of new tariffs in April. But while investors' mood has become more sanguine, it's critical for individual investors to emphasize value in their portfolios: and particularly, when

This article was written by

31.2K Followers
With combined experience of covering technology companies on Wall Street and working in Silicon Valley, and serving as an outside adviser to several seed-round startups, Gary Alexander has exposure to many of the themes shaping the industry today. He has been a regular contributor on Seeking Alpha since 2017. He has been quoted in many web publications and his articles are syndicated to company pages in popular trading apps like Robinhood.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

About SFM Stock

SymbolLast Price% Chg
Market Cap
PE
Yield
Rev Growth (YoY)
Short Interest
Prev. Close
Compare to Peers

More on SFM

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
SFM
--