Why I Am Bullish On MGM Despite Macro Headwinds

Mohsen Zafari
54 Followers
(20min)

Summary

  • MGM operates some of the top resorts in the U.S., which have maintained occupancy rates above 90% over the past few years.
  • Despite short-term macro headwinds, I think the long-term outlook remains positive for Las Vegas, iGaming, and sports betting.
  • MGM is well-positioned to benefit from the overall growth, and many of the current risks can be mitigated by extending the investment time horizon.
  • They also have a clear growth path through investments in Japan, Dubai, and Brazil. There is a chance they will operate a casino in New York as well.
  • I think the current macro situation presents an opportunity to accumulate MGM shares at a bargain price.

Las Vegas Strip, Intersection of Las Vegas Blvd & Tropicana

eyfoto/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images

Investment Thesis

There is no doubt MGM Resorts International (MGM) is vulnerable to tariffs and macro headwinds. The fear of a recession could cause people to spend less money on travel, and Las Vegas would be one of

This article was written by

54 Followers
I am a value investor with focus on special situations and small-cap companies. Most of the time, I write about long ideas either ones I’m already invested in or keeping an eye on until I feel confident enough to jump in. I don’t write just to have something new out there; if an idea doesn’t feel strong enough, I’m okay with walking away from it, even if I’ve already spent a lot of time digging into it.My background is in engineering, but I got into value investing after listening to the “Parsezani dar Bazar” podcast and reading Warren Buffett’s letters to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders. That sparked my interest, and I started learning from other great value investors like Peter Lynch, Charlie Munger, Howard Marks, Joel Greenblatt, Monish Pabrai, and David Einhorn.Greenblatt’s book "You Can Be a Stock Market Genius" really shifted my focus toward special situations and small-cap plays. I also recently passed the CFA Level I exam. Writing on Seeking Alpha helps me organize my thoughts and connect with other investors who are just as passionate about the markets. I’m always looking to improve, so if you have any thoughts, suggestions, or just want to share your perspective about my articles, feel free to leave a comment. I’d really appreciate it!

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of MGM either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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