S&P 500 At 5950, Do We Revisit The Lows? Here's What Happens

(12min)

Summary

  • S&P 500 is fully valued; I expect consolidation or a mild pullback, not a major rally or crash.
  • Tariff fears are overblown—earnings and economic resilience suggest no recession or stagflation ahead.
  • I’m holding quality stocks like NFLX, META, BA, NVDA, and AMZN, and ready to buy more on dips.
  • I use hedges as insurance, not for profit; this week will test if a market adjustment is coming.
  • This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Group Mind Investing. Learn More »

S and P 500 index symbol. Wooden blocks with an arrows that symbolizes that the S and P 500 index is changing trend, goes up or down. Business concept. Flat lay, gray background

Andrzej Rostek/iStock via Getty Images

No FOMO

In my weekly update last week, I shared that we will likely top out around 5900 on the S&P 500. I thought it would end in a flourish, a vertiginous FOMO rally that ends

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This article was written by

30.86K Followers

David H. Lerner is an analyst with a decade of experience utilizing his professional background in software consulting and technology to identify market trends and provide long and short trade ideas. David employs a combination of technical analysis and market psychology to capitalize on narratives for outsized returns. He also utilizes “Cash Management Discipline,” a simple trading style to hedge against the volatility of today’s market climate.

He leads the investing group Group Mind Investing where he uncovers actionable trading and investing ideas nearly every day. Other features include: long and short swing trade alerts, daily macro analysis, weekly articles, and chat for community interaction and questions. Learn More.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of NFLX either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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