Cidara Therapeutics: All Stars Aligning In Favor Of CD388

(15min)

Summary

  • Cidara Therapeutics' CD388 is a long-acting influenza antiviral aimed at providing universal protection with a single yearly dose for each flu season.
  • In contrast to vaccines, CD388's efficacy is not dependent on circulating strains or on an intact patient immune system. CD388 is ideal for pandemic preparedness and for high-risk patients.
  • Readout of a randomized ph2b trial of CD388 is expected by the end of June, with the potential to serve as one of the two needed trials for approval.
  • The more severe than usual 2024-2025 flu season significantly increases the probability of a positive readout, which in turn would considerably de-risk CDTX and justify considerable upside potential.

Close up of a group of Viruses

Jonathan Kitchen

Thesis overview

This is my 4th coverage of Cidara Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CDTX). At the time of writing, CDTX is trading at around +90% since my last coverage. CDTX has always been a long-term investment for me as explained in prior articles, but the

This article was written by

Background: Physician involved in clinical research. Investment style: Clinical-stage biotech stocks, long only, both long-term ideas and event-driven trading. My academic/medical background helps me evaluate the scientific fundamentals of biotech stocks.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of CDTX either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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