Apple: Double-Down When The Market Gets Silly

DM Martins Research
20.91K Followers
(10min)

Summary

  • Apple stock is down over 20% from its all-time high, underperforming peers, but may be poised for a rebound based on historical mean reversion.
  • Investor concerns center around trade war risks, but Apple’s history as a capable supply chain manager and its strong services business provide resilience.
  • Buying Apple during periods of weakness—possibly even with leverage, when done right—has historically led to outsized long-term returns.

Apple Store at 5th Ave in Manhattan, New York City

ozgurdonmaz

Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) has been struggling lately. With shares worth barely $200 as I write this sentence, this stock that has historically returned 26% per year in the iPhone era (i.e., since 2007) is still a solid 20%-plus below the all-time highs reached in December

This article was written by

20.91K Followers
Daniel Martins is the founder of independent research firm DM Martins Research. The firm's work is centered around building more efficient, easily replicable portfolios that are properly risk-balanced for growth with less downside risk. His work has been featured on Seeking Alpha and other platforms through 2,000+ articles, and it has been cited by the New York Times, CNN, Reuters, USA Today, and others.- - -Daniel is the founder and portfolio manager at DM Martins Capital Management LLC, a macro strategy hedge fund (leveraged risk-parity approach that uses return stacking to achieve aggressive long-term capital appreciation). He is a former equity research professional at FBR Capital Markets and Telsey Advisory in New York City and finance analyst at macro hedge fund Bridgewater Associates, where he developed most of his investment management skills earlier in his career. Daniel is also an equity research and global equities market instructor for Wall Street Prep, where he has developed content and trained hundreds of senior and junior analysts at some of the largest bulge bracket investment banks and sovereign investment funds in the world.He holds an MBA in Financial Instruments and Markets from New York University's Stern School of Business.- - -On Seeking Alpha, DM Martins Research has partnered with EPB Macro Research and collaborated with Risk Research, Inc.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of NVDA, SPY either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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