Opendoor: Still A Speculative Play, But With Better Odds (Upgrade)

Stephen Ayers
8.47K Followers
(8min)

Summary

  • Opendoor faces NASDAQ delisting warning requiring reverse stock split after 48% decline since previous Sell rating.
  • Q1 2025 earnings beat expectations with improved margins, reduced losses, and first positive EBITDA projection.
  • The Company pivoted to asset-light agent partnerships, earning referral fees, acknowledging iBuying's unsustainability.
  • The strategic shift from capital-intensive iBuying model to asset-light agent partnerships earns it a cautious Hold upgrade.

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Introduction

My last look at Opendoor Technologies (NASDAQ:OPEN) was in March. It was apparent then that the company was struggling amid a challenging iBuying market. Recall that others, such as Zillow (

This article was written by

8.47K Followers
With a background as an RN and an MBA, Stephen analyzes healthcare and tech stocks by combining clinical insight with rigorous valuation methods. He specializes in scenario-based DCF modeling, sensitivity analysis, and Monte Carlo simulations to uncover asymmetric risk-reward. His focus is on translating complex science and market dynamics into actionable investment theses. His influences include Superforecasting and Fooled by Randomness.Stay up to date with Stephen's latest thoughts and investment insights by following him on X (@meremrtl).

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This article is intended to provide informational content and should not be viewed as an exhaustive analysis of the featured company. It should not be interpreted as personalized investment advice with regard to "Buy/Sell/Hold/Short/Long" recommendations. The predictions and opinions presented are based on the author's analysis and reflect a probabilistic approach, not absolute certainty. Efforts have been made to ensure the information's accuracy, but inadvertent errors may occur. Readers are advised to independently verify the information and conduct their own research. Investing in stocks involves inherent volatility, risk, and speculative elements. Before making any investment decisions, it is crucial for readers to conduct thorough research and assess their financial circumstances. The author is not liable for any financial losses incurred as a result of using or relying on the content of this article.

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