Powell Industries: Undervalued And Oversold (Rating Upgrade)

(11min)

Summary

  • I am upgrading Powell Industries to a 'Buy' with a $233 price target, reflecting 26% upside potential from current levels.
  • Electric Utility and Commercial market segments are driving revenue growth, offsetting declines from oil & gas and petrochemical markets due to the completion of large projects that were booked in FY23.
  • Capacity expansion, product innovation, and strong operational discipline are positioning POWL for future order and backlog growth.
  • Despite near-term revenue headwinds, margin expansion and conservative estimates provide rerating potential if revenue surprises to the upside.

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Introduction and Investment Thesis

I last wrote about Powell Industries (NASDAQ:POWL) at the beginning of January, where I rated the stock a 'Hold' as I believed it was unlikely to deliver alpha in 2025 given tougher comps from the previous

I am Amrita and I write primarily about growth software stocks.

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Amrita runs a boutique family office fund in beautiful Vancouver, where she leads the investment strategy for the family fund. The fund's objective is to invest capital in sustainable, growth-driven companies that maximize shareholder equity by meeting their growth-oriented goals. In addition, she also started her own award-winning newsletter, The Pragmatic Optimist which focuses on portfolio strategy, valuation, and macroeconomics in concert with her husband Uttam Dey who is also a contributor on Seeking Alpha. Prior to cofounding her fund, Amrita worked for 5 years in high-growth supply-chain start-ups in downtown San Francisco, where she led strategy. During her time in the Bay Area, she also worked with venture capital firms and start-ups, where her efforts led her to grow the user acquisition business. During this time, she was introduced to investment portfolios and was able to maximize returns for clients during the pandemic. The cornerstone of Amritas work rests on democratizing financial literacy for everyone and breaking down financial jargon and complex macroeconomic concepts into formats that are easily digestible but more empowering than the typical investment thesis. Her newsletter has been featured as the Top Newsletter in Finance on popular newsletter platforms and she aims to bring her ideas to Seeking Alpha as well.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in POWL over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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