SCHD: Dividends Are Still A Losing Hand

Cavenagh Research
9.48K Followers

Summary

  • SCHD remains poorly positioned for 2025, lacking exposure to tech and AI growth drivers fueling the S&P 500’s outperformance.
  • Q1 data confirms underperformance: SCHD’s top 10 holdings grew revenue by 5% and earnings by 7%, versus 21% and 26% for S&P 500 leaders.
  • SCHD’s focus on mature, dividend-paying sectors systematically excludes high-growth mega-cap tech stocks, creating a structural performance gap.
  • Given persistent growth disparities and lack of innovation exposure, I maintain a 'sell' rating on SCHD heading into 2025.

Close-up of male professional hands using mobile phone

Luis Alvarez

Heading into 2025, I argued that Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) investors are "at risk of falling short again", pointing to the ETF's poor relative positioning to capitalize on tech and AI growth drivers.

Specifically, I highlighted

This article was written by

9.48K Followers
Experience as an investment analyst for a major BB-Bank, as well as private equity consultant for MBB. Currently working towards the CFA charter, having completed I&II. Passion for risk-assets (Growth, Contrarian, Emerging Market). Ex-colleague and close friend of Investor Express.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Not financial advice

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