Moody's: Analytics Will Drive Growth

Jun. 26, 2025 5:54 PM ETMoody's Corporation (MCO) StockMCO
Triba Research
963 Followers
(13min)

Summary

  • Moody's continues its international expansion with the acquisition of one of the four Chilean credit rating agencies.
  • After the recovery in equity markets and credit spreads, the lowered guidance presented in April might be outdated.
  • Considering the global debt levels, I expect the rating segment to grow more slowly going forward.
  • Future growth will be driven by the analytics segment, which has room to expand margins by leveraging AI and automation.
  • I estimate a fair price of $464 per share, and given the expected growth rates, Moody's is a hold.
Digital Finance Evolution and innovative Fintech Technology

J Studios

Since Moody's (NYSE:MCO) lowered its guidance in late April, a lot has changed. The equity markets have recovered, and the credit spread is back at pre-Liberation Day levels.

The company keeps expanding internationally with the recently announced acquisition in Chile, and

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Triba Research's mission is to uncover high-quality businesses with the potential to deliver sustainable, double-digit returns over the long term. The firm's strategy focuses on identifying companies with strong competitive advantages, operating in growing markets, maintaining low debt levels, and led by a skilled and aligned management team. While Triba Research stays informed about the latest developments, its priority remains the bigger picture — long-term value creation.

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