Bank of America: Margin Squeeze, Macro Relief

Moretus Research
677 Followers

Summary

  • We initiate coverage on Bank of America with a Hold rating and $50 price target, citing margin compression and a sub-consensus earnings outlook despite franchise scale.
  • Net interest income growth is set to slow, with sticky deposit costs and rising charge-offs limiting EPS upside; capital returns via buybacks offer some support.
  • Regulatory and compensation headwinds persist, constraining operating flexibility and offsetting cost-control efforts; further clarity is needed for a more constructive stance.
  • Valuation reflects limited near-term catalysts for re-rating; we remain on the sidelines on BAC until capital relief and deposit mix stability improve the risk/reward profile.

Bank of America office building in Miami

Ceri Breeze

Margin Squeeze, Macro Relief

We initiate coverage on Bank of America Corporation (NYSE:BAC) with a Hold rating and $50 PT. BAC is one of the world's largest diversified financial institutions, serving 67mn clients across consumer banking, commercial

This article was written by

677 Followers
Moretus Research delivers state-of-the-art, buy-side quality equity research for serious investors seeking clarity, conviction, and alpha. We focus on going beyond the obvious. We practice positive paranoia when analyzing investments — understanding sentiment, knowing where our competition is right or wrong, and how that will shape the future of any given security we’re researching. We won’t always be right, but we’re right more often than we’re wrong. More importantly, when we are right, we’re right big. At the beginning of 2023, Oskar Goyvaerts, our CIO, recommended and bought Carvana at $5 per share for our readers — pointing out that the 88% short interest was wildly overblown and that alternative data signaled a looming turnaround. That idea returned more than 60x over three years. Finding another Carvana is unlikely, but we’re confident in our ability to cut through the noise, focus on fundamentals, and uncover a data edge through carefully curated alternative data sources. We cover everything from businesses we own to companies we follow closely because we may want to own them in the future.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

About BAC Stock

SymbolLast Price% Chg
Market Cap
PE
Yield
Rev Growth (YoY)
Short Interest
Prev. Close
Compare to Peers

More on BAC

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
BAC
--