Joby Aviation: Share Price Is Catching Up With The Company's Fundamentals

Richard Durant
8.93K Followers

Summary

  • Joby's share price has begun to move higher in recent months as the maturity of its business becomes more apparent.
  • In particular, Joby is regularly performing piloted transition flights, including in Dubai, where the company is preparing for commercial operations.
  • Joby also continues to progress through the certification process, although this likely won't be complete until 2026.
  • While Joby is the clear leader in the eVTOL market, I have doubts about the size of the opportunity at this stage.

Electric plane fly over the city

XH4D/E+ via Getty Images

Joby Aviation, Inc.'s (NYSE:JOBY) stock has gained momentum in recent weeks, although the exact catalyst for this isn't really clear. I tend to think Joby's lead in the eVTOL market has been underestimated though, and the move

This article was written by

8.93K Followers
Richard Durant is the leader of Narweena, an asset manager focused on finding market dislocations that are the result of a poor understanding of a businesses long-term prospects. Narweena believes that excess risk adjusted returns can be achieved by identifying businesses with secular growth opportunities in markets with barriers to entry. Narweena’s research process is focused on company and industry fundamentals with the goal of uncovering unique insights. Narweena has a high risk appetite and a long-term horizon, in pursuit of stocks that are deeply undervalued. Coverage tilts towards smaller cap stocks and markets where competitive advantages are not obvious.Investments are driven by a belief that an aging population with low population growth and stagnating productivity growth will create a different opportunity set to what has worked in the past. Many industries are likely to face stagnation or secular decline, which counter-intuitively may improve business performance if competition decreases. Conversely, other businesses are likely to face rising costs and diseconomies of scale. In addition, economies are becoming increasingly dominated by asset light businesses, and the need for infrastructure investments is declining over time. As a result, a large pool of capital is chasing a limited set of investment opportunities, which is driving up asset prices and compressing risk premia over time.Durant has undergraduate degrees in engineering and finance from the University of Adelaide (Honors) and an MBA from Nanyang Technological University (Dean’s Honors List). He has also passed the CFA exams.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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