Why Stock Picking Fails - And Why SPY Or VTI Is All You Need

Millennial Dividends
7.79K Followers

Summary

  • For most investors, especially beginners, I recommend avoiding individual stock picking and instead investing in broad market ETFs.
  • SPY and VTI both offer diversified, low-cost exposure to the US stock market, but SPY's concentration in blue-chip firms has led to better returns and lower drawdowns.
  • VTI includes mid- and small-caps, which can boost returns in early bull markets but also increase volatility and downside risk during downturns.
  • My recommendation: beginners should go 100% SPY for higher returns and stability; seasoned investors can add VTI tactically; retirees can choose either based on yield preference.
Symbol ETF, skrót od Exchange Traded Fund, koncepcja biznesowo-finansowa. Wooden cubes with ETF icon on a navy blue background. A stock market index fund in the financial sector for business stocks.

Andrzej Rostek

A good friend of mine, who is at the beginning of his wealth accumulation phase, approached me a few days back, asking me whether I could recommend him any stocks worth investing in right now for a long-term compounding where he could earn

This article was written by

7.79K Followers
I’m a Financial Analyst at a Fortune 500 company, investing with a long runway—30 years to retirement and plenty of compounding ahead. I write about building a thoughtful portfolio that balances strong growth potential with solid fundamentals. My focus is on high-quality businesses, mostly in the U.S. and Europe—companies with staying power, industry-leading profitability, low leverage, and room to grow. I’m especially interested in portfolio strategy, capital allocation, and what makes a business truly worth holding for the long haul. Investing, for me, is about more than just returns—it’s a way to challenge my thinking, stay curious, and move steadily toward financial independence.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of SPY, VOO either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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