TLT: The Upside Could Be Much Bigger Than You Think

Hawkinvest
13.73K Followers

Summary

  • I see TLT's current price and nearly 5% yield as an attractive buying opportunity with limited long-term risk, despite concerns about U.S. debt.
  • Lower interest rates are likely coming soon, either from Fed policy shifts or a recession, which could drive significant gains for TLT.
  • Fears about U.S. government creditworthiness are overblown. The U.S. remains a superpower with multiple tools to manage debt and raise revenue.
  • Locking in TLT's high yield now offers a favorable risk/reward, as rates will likely drop and concerns about U.S. debt should fade.

Treasury bonds concept. American flag, dollars and plate.

designer491

I last wrote about the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) in April 2024, and I was bullish. At that time, this ETF was trading for about $91 per share, and it ended up going to around $100 per share in

This article was written by

13.73K Followers
Long-time stock market investor focused on strategic buying opportunities with dividend and value stocks. This investment strategy has resulted in a near 5 star rating on Tipranks.com and over 9,000 followers on Seeking Alpha. Follow me on Twitter for my latest trading ideas: @Hawkinvest1

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of TLT either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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