Energy Fuels: Rare Earth Project Excites Investors, But Revenue Potential Is Lackluster

Harrison Schwartz
16.48K Followers

Summary

  • Energy Fuels' rare earth production progress is positive, but immediate revenue potential remains limited, and profitability is uncertain without government support.
  • The company’s valuation is difficult to justify, given its history of negative cash flows, equity dilution, and only moderate projected sales growth.
  • US rare earth independence is a legitimate need, but competition, high capital costs, and volatile pricing make sustained profitability challenging without subsidies or price floors.
  • I remain neutral on UUUU, awaiting concrete government support before turning bullish, as current optimism may be a 'buy the rumor, sell the news' scenario.

USA Rare earth concept

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At the end of last year, I upgraded my view on Energy Fuels (NYSE:UUUU) (TSX:EFR:CA) to neutral, seeing that the acquisition of Base Resources was accretive and had the potential to push its margins back into

This article was written by

16.48K Followers
Harrison is a financial analyst who has been writing on Seeking Alpha since 2018 and has closely followed the market for over a decade. He has professional experience in the private equity, real estate, and economic research industry. Harrison also has an academic background in financial econometrics, economic forecasting, and global monetary economics.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial short position in the shares of AAPL either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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