SMH Is A Concentrated Play That Works

Jul. 29, 2025 3:32 AM ETVanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH)SOXX, XSD, SMH
The Alpha Analyst
1.14K Followers

Summary

  • VanEck Semiconductor ETF is a Buy due to strong AI-driven momentum, robust earnings, and consistent outperformance versus broader tech indices like QQQ.
  • The ETF's market-cap weighting leads to heavy concentration in Nvidia and other dominant players, which is justified by their AI ecosystem leadership.
  • While some global semiconductor leaders are missing, SMH's portfolio still remains well-positioned for AI tailwinds and continued sector growth.
  • Investors should expect volatility, but SMH's risk/reward profile and historical outperformance make it a core holding for growth-focused portfolios.

Abstract CPU concept, Artificial Intelligence - innovations and new technology. code and data

MF3d

The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SMH) is a Buy on the back of strong momentum. Fundamentally, an ETF that seeks to gain from the AI tailwinds and overall semis supply chain growth is almost a must-have in one's core portfolio

This article was written by

1.14K Followers
I am a stock analyst with over 20 years of experience in quantitative research, financial modeling, and risk management. My focus is on equity valuation, market trends, and portfolio optimization to uncover high-growth investment opportunities. As a former Vice President at Barclays, I led teams in model validation, stress testing, and regulatory finance, developing a deep expertise in both fundamental and technical analysis. Alongside my research partner (also my wife), I co-author investment research, combining our complementary strengths to deliver high-quality, data-driven insights. Our approach blends rigorous risk management with a long-term perspective on value creation. We have a particular interest in macroeconomic trends, corporate earnings, and financial statement analysis, aiming to provide actionable ideas for investors seeking to outperform the market.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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