James Picerno
Contributor since: 2007
Articles
Predicting Risk: Not Easy, But Easier Relative To Return - Part II
High Dividend Yield And Value Are 2022's Top U.S. Equity Factors
U.S. Personal Income Barely Recovered In The Economic Expansion
Total Return Forecasts: Major Asset Classes - August 2, 2022
Major Asset Classes: July 2022 Performance Review
Arguing Over Recession Definitions
Peak Inflation Watch: July 28, 2022
Energy Holds On To Hefty Lead For U.S. Equity Sectors In 2022
Is There A Case For A Return Of Disinflation/Deflation?
New Signs Of Rising But Not Yet Decisive U.S. Recession Risk
Using Multiple Yield Curves To Predict Recessions
10-Year Treasury Yield 'Fair Value' Estimate: July 19, 2022
U.S. Bonds Rallied Last Week, Offering Ballast Vs. Losses Elsewhere
S&P 500 Risk Profile: July 15, 2022
Peak Inflation Watch: July 14, 2022
Is Leadership For U.S. Equities Vulnerable In A High-Risk World?
How To Estimate Recession Risk In Real Time - Pick Your Poison
Monitoring Investment Trends With ETF Pairs: July 7, 2022
Risk Premia Forecasts: Major Asset Classes - July 6, 2022
Factor Diversification Offers Relief, But Only In Relative Terms
Major Asset Classes: June 2022 Performance Review
When Is It 'Safe' To Invest In Stocks After Corrections?
How Long Will Interest Rates Rise?
Energy Stocks Are Down, But Remain Top Sector Performer
Peak Inflation Watch: June 23, 2022
Monitoring Fed Policy Expectations With The 2-Year Treasury Yield
All The Major Asset Classes Lost Ground Last Week
Recession Watch: June 17, 2022
Monitoring Risk Appetite With ETF Pairs
S&P 500 Risk Profile: June 14, 2022
Dividend Yield Factor Offers Port In Equity Storm This Year
Is The Recent Rise In U.S. Interest Rates Peaking?
Peak Inflation Watch - Oil Edition: 24 May 2022
U.S. Recession Risk May Be Rising, But Growth Still Prevails
Monitoring Investment Regime Trends With ETF Pairs
Can The Fed Break Inflation's Momentum In The Near Term?
Managing Expectations As The S&P 500 Tumbles
10-Year Treasury Yield 'Fair Value' Estimate: May 12, 2022
Outlier Risk, Part V: Largest Difference From Average Value
Value Factor Is Relative Haven For Stocks So Far In 2022