Slack: Is Their Honesty A Bad Policy

Bert Hochfeld
23.29K Followers

Summary

  • Even on a relative basis, Slack's latest earnings report was poorly received.
  • In fact, results were quite strong for the quarter being reported, with revenues, earnings and cash flow well above prior expectations.
  • The company reduced guidance because of the likely impact of the economic turmoil the Covid-19 virus is creating.
  • The company has seen substantial interest in its set of work from home solutions-but it is reluctant to guide investors that it can create an environment in which it will close large enterprise deals.
  • Slack's valuation has fallen substantially and its competitive position seems to be consistently improving.

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A potentially important component of a recovery portfolio!

Quick answer: I think in the long run, companies and their management's that attempt to present a realistic picture of their business are paid back in terms of share price valuation as institutions, if not individuals, are very cognizant of the vicissitudes and speed-bumps in running a high-growth business.

Cutting to the chase, Slack (WORK) reported strong results but it gave realistic guidance based on concerns that the uncertainty unleashed by the Covid-19 virus-and perhaps the Russia-Saudi oil price war-would upend otherwise buoyant demand trends. It appears to this writer as though the results of providing realistic guidance and commenting on risks and uncertainties have been a share price implosion for Slack.

There has been an article on SA that says that Slack reaffirmed it is not part of the virtualization marketplace. Other than pointing out that virtualization means something quite specific and different than the author's apparent definition in the IT world, the basis of the article is upside down, as any careful reading of the latest conference call transcript would indicate.

And it is this kind of misapprehension that creates an excellent opportunity for investors who are able to look through this crisis, and its economic impact, and see the "broad sun filled uplands" as Winston Churchill once put it in reference to the existential crisis faced by his government and nation in 1940.

The fact is there is and will be an enormous economic perturbation of some currently unknown extent until the Covid-19 emergency wanes. One has merely to walk the streets of Manhattan - it is basically a ghost city - to see just how upside down

This article was written by

23.29K Followers
Bert Hochfeld graduated with a degree in economics from the University of Pennsylvania and received an MBA from Harvard. Mr. Hochfeld has enjoyed a long career in the tech world, working for IBM, Memorex/Telex, Raytheon Data Systems, and BMC Software. Starting in the 1990s, Mr. Hochfeld worked as a sell-side analyst and won awards from the Wall Street Journal for his coverage of the software space. In 2001, Mr. Hochfeld formed his own independent research company, Hochfeld Independent Research Group, which provided research services to major institutions including Fidelity, Columbia Asset, SAC Capital, and many other prominent institutions and hedge funds. He also operated the Hepplewhite Fund, a hedge fund that specialized in technology investments. Hedge Fund Research, an independent 3rd party firm that specializes in ranking managers, rated the Hepplewhite Fund as the best performing small-cap fund for the 5 years ending in 2011. In 2012, Mr. Hochfeld was convicted of misappropriating funds from a hedge fund he operated. Mr. Hochfeld has published more than 500 articles on Seeking Alpha, all dealing with companies in the information technology space. Highly esteemed for his investment wisdom accumulated over decades, Mr. Hochfeld ranks in the top 0.1% of Tip Ranks analysts for his selection of information technology stocks and their subsequent successes.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long WORK. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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