Switching Back To Bullish On Seagate Technology

Patrick Doyle
7.29K Followers

Summary

  • I think Seagate Technology is a very well-run, shareholder-friendly company. I think the stock represents great value at current prices.
  • I think the dividend is very well-covered, which makes this high-yielding stock quite compelling in my view.
  • For those who are nervous, I recommend selling put options here. This trade has worked well in the past and I think repeating success is never a bad strategy.

If I were to start this article by writing "I don't mean to brag, but...," that'd be a lie. I do plan to brag. The act of stating that you don't want to do something, and then going ahead and doing that thing strongly suggests that the first part of the sentence is just a way to make you look less personally odious. People who know me well understand on a deep level that I have no problem embracing my inner odiousness, so here goes. I've done well with my investments in Seagate Technology (NASDAQ:STX). In late November of 2018, I wrote the first of two articles on Seagate. It was bullish, hence the very imaginative title "Buy Seagate Technologies" and investors earned a return of ~21% subsequent to that, as compared to a 14% return for the S&P 500 over the same time period. I then shifted to neutral and wrote in November of 2019 that I'd be selling my shares. Subsequent to that, the shares lost 15.6% against a gain of 2% for the S&P 500.

Today, I'll endanger my record here and offer another commentary about whether it makes sense to buy back in again. I'll try to make that determination by looking at both the financial history here and the stock itself. I'll also recommend another options trade, as the last one I recommended worked out rather well in my estimation. For those who can't stand my writing, and who somehow missed the title of this article, I'll come right to the point. I think shares of Seagate represent great value at current levels. I think investors would be wise to buy.

Financial Snapshot

The financial history here is impressive in my view. Although it's been cyclical, obviously, over the past six years, profits have increased at a CAGR of

This article was written by

7.29K Followers
I'm a quant investment newsletter writer who marries fundamental analysis with the latest research in momentum. Over the past few years, I’ve developed a piece of software that helps me track the level of optimism and pessimism embedded in stock price. I seek to challenge the assumptions embedded in price by profitably exploiting the disconnect between what the market thinks and what is a likely outcome. I invest in those companies that have a greater than average chance of giving us all a surprise in the next few months.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in STX over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

In addition to buying shares back, I'll be selling 10 of the puts described in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

About STX Stock

SymbolLast Price% Chg
Market Cap
PE
Yield
Rev Growth (YoY)
Short Interest
Prev. Close
Compare to Peers

More on STX

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
STX
--