This article first appeared on Trend Investing on Dec. 11, 2020 when COPX was at US$28.95, and has been updated for this article.
As we begin 2021 the stars are aligning for copper demand. USA, China, Europe, UK, and parts of Canada are all moving in unison towards strongly promoting green policies; as are many other countries around the world. A key theme is towards supporting solar, wind, energy storage and electric vehicles [EVs]. All of this should drive very strong demand growth for copper this decade.
The Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:COPX) offers investors a simple way to play the trend with a bit of leverage and safety due to investing into a copper miners fund.
Global X Copper Miners ETF price chart
Source: Seeking Alpha
Copper
Copper price history - Copper is currently USD 3.61/lb
Source: Trading Economics
Goldman Sachs bullish on copper
Goldman Sachs very recently released a very bullish note on copper stating: “Copper’s current price strength is just the first leg of a structural bull market.” Goldman sees “resurgent demand and capped supplies” leading to higher copper prices. Seeking Alpha quotes the report stating:
“The copper market should head into 2021 facing the tightest market conditions in a decade owing to a substantial deficit, followed by continued tight markets into 2022 and 2023, Goldman says, adding it is “highly probable” that copper will test the 2011 record high $10,170/mt by H1 2022.” The US$10,170/mt works out to be US$4.61/lb.
Copper demand v supply
Copper demand
New copper demand this decade will be supported by new solar, wind, energy storage systems, electric vehicles [EVs] and EV charging stations. A fully electric car uses 4 times more copper than a conventional gasoline car and even more when we include the charging infrastructure.
Pro-green policies in USA, China, Europe, UK, and
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