Geoff Considine

Seeking Alpha Analyst since 2006

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Visa Looks Compelling For 2023
by Geoff Considine
ChuckXX
I have said this before but it bears repeating. V over the last decade + has either acquired or partnered with literally dozens & dozens of companies to keep their growth heading North. V operates in 200 countries & virtually everyone enjoys the great rewards & convenience that they receive from V. Plus they have no default risk as that goes to their banking partners. The next time your in line to check out at Walmart, Target, your grocery store, or where ever be “observant” as to how the masses pay for their goods. It might shock you that people do NOT write checks or pay cash anymore.
Dec. 09, 2022
5:54 PM
Broadcom Looks Likely To Extend The Standout Performance
by Geoff Considine
Whiterabbit66
@alchemist11 Compared to rival is the same vertical it is standout.
Dec. 06, 2022
1:01 PM
Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy
by Geoff Considine
Illuminati Investments
@karondongotbanned Nice, I love a good "gaurantee". Who pays me back if you're wrong, you or Musk?
Nov. 09, 2022
2:30 PM
Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy
by Geoff Considine
Mr. Quincy
But... but... but.... Kathy Wood said that the shares were going to $4000 per share.
Nov. 08, 2022
9:42 PM
Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy
by Geoff Considine
Derf
EVs have been said to be external combustion vehicles.
Nov. 09, 2022
2:30 PM
Exxon exits Russia after Kremlin expropriated properties - Reuters
by Carl Surran, SA News Editor
BStolte59
@WD216 "for a war we provoked" what the f$*k are you smoking? This is Putin and his sick puppets that created all of this death and carnage...and for what? To show the world how pathetic and inhumane their true army really is? Did you see the segment on 60 Minutes last night? The reporter was interviewing a widower...his wife and two young children were shot dead in their car by the Russian army while they were trying to flee their city in Ukraine, he had his leg shot off, but survived...so, let's see...tell me again how we provoked this?
Oct. 17, 2022
4:41 PM
Ongoing Disagreement On Splunk Between Wall Street Analysts And Options Market
by Geoff Considine
dgiinvestor
Biggest issue is what new management plans to do to achieve profitability.

For such a fundamental and pricey product as Splunk to be unprofitable is mind-boggling.
Oct. 11, 2022
1:02 AM
The Options Market Predicts Further Declines For Robinhood
by Geoff Considine
Traders Association
To summarize, don't touch HOOD until it's below $3
Sep. 24, 2022
2:11 PM
Cardinal Health: Little Price Appreciation Potential But Covered Calls Are Worth Considering
by Geoff Considine
goodeye63
@Geoff Considine That worked well! Even with the pop, 8% or so in a few weeks is a nice return. I'd close the position to put the money elsewhere, but even with no time value on the call, the spread is still big, I guess since it's so far out.
Aug. 15, 2022
12:43 PM
Little Conviction And Lots Of Uncertainty On Nucor
by Geoff Considine
JohnsonTV
@Geoff Considine Nucor recycles scrap and melts it in electric arc furnaces. This recent study shows this process to be lowest in GHG. Relative to other competitors, the source of electricity is the next determinate. Nucor has a good-sized plant in western NY that has a very low footprint due to high renewable energy use.

www.prnewswire.com/...
Jul. 30, 2022
9:46 AM
Palantir's Insider Selling Problem
by Business Quant
TommyIrish
@becomjapan

Exciting; Up TEN percent!

Go for it, man, we are only limited by the dreams of our aspiration!

Knock yourself out!

Stop hodling backy!

I want to see it back at $40 a pronto, are you a man or a mouse!
Jan. 31, 2022
7:10 PM
Income Investors Should Consider T. Rowe Price
by Geoff Considine
BM Cashflow Detective
@dgi123
Well I'm afraid that's correct as the analyst consensus growth rates have been revised down dramatically in just a few short weeks. This is also the reason for the sharp drop in the price of the share.

FAST Graphs shows EPS growth of -6% for 2022, +4% for 2023 and again -3% for 2024. So -5% for 3 years, based on S&P and FactSet.

FactSet long term consensus growth rate is only 2.8%.

S&P Global Markets IQ 5 year consensus growth rate is only a similar 2.3%.

Refinitiv 5-year consensus growth rate is only a similar 3.8%.

Management expects net flows for 2022 to be below its long-term 1-3% growth target. Over time, the company expects net flows to return to a positive territory as it continues pursuing strategic initiatives to bolster investment competencies, amplify its distribution reach and strengthen client partnerships.

FinViz's EPS next 5y 12.20%. No indication of who is the data supplier here, but that seems to be the previous uncorrected data.

The reason for the sharp revision in T. Rowe Price's earnings growth is that the business continues to suffer from rising costs.

But I see it very positively, because expectations that are too low hold a considerable potential for future surprises that is just as positive. That's why I keep investing in $TROW. The upward magic of a high margin of safety.
Mar. 05, 2022
3:25 PM
Skip QYLD And Sell Covered Calls On QQQ Yourself
by Geoff Considine
purewonka
I don't understand the people saying they don't have the time to sell calls on QQQ as per the author's strategy. It's a once a year trade that takes 30 seconds. QYLD is a product for newbs who don't know what "total returns" means.
Feb. 25, 2022
10:05 AM
SPY: Market-Implied Outlooks For The S&P 500 For The Next 12 Months
by Geoff Considine
shj
@halibuts Why waste your time responding to such comments? When the word "prediction" is used in their response comment that alone tells you that they don't have a clue regarding the meaning of "market-implied" and certainly don't grasp the takeaway of the article much less the concept of probable outcomes.
Jan. 24, 2022
10:39 AM
SPY: Market-Implied Outlooks For The S&P 500 For The Next 12 Months
by Geoff Considine
shj
@BtuKwh Your suggestion that the article is a "prediction", suggests as well that you don't comprehend/understand the nature of the article nor the authors point of the statistical evaluation.
Jan. 24, 2022
8:15 AM
SPY: Market-Implied Outlooks For The S&P 500 For The Next 12 Months
by Geoff Considine
halibuts
@HLB1 I think it would be helpful if you reviewed the definition of "probability".
Jan. 24, 2022
8:14 AM
Morgan Stanley says avoid U.S. stocks and bonds in 2022, sees S&P falling to 4,400
by Kim Khan, SA News Editor
Johnny Skyhook
@Benjamin Graham Cracker Actually I'm not all that sure that anyone really knows what happened this year.
Nov. 15, 2021
9:34 AM
Neutral Outlook For Amgen
by Geoff Considine
economonoc
@DLSheeler Did you mean voting machine? Though rowing machine is somehow apt as well ... ;-)
Nov. 04, 2021
8:02 PM
Southern Company Is A Defensive Equity Stalwart
by Geoff Considine
Ray Merola
@abcde1 I believe the Left-Greens dislike for nuclear power is exceeded by their collective dislike for hydrocarbons.

IMHO, the position is unwise on several levels; however, it does appear it is an unmistakable point of view.
Oct. 14, 2021
11:32 PM